The effects of the lack of rain are causing conditions disparate over the productive territory of Argentina, depending on the amount of water fallen.
“It is necessary to cross this desert at the beginning of the year because according to the National Meteorological Service and weather experts they don’t wait abundant rainfall in any part of the territory national for these days”, signor Abraham Brostock agricultural producer from Buenos Aires with farms, in addition, in the province of San Luis and cited by N/A
Coarse grain crops, corn and sorghum within cereals and sunflower, soybean, as well as peanuts classified as oilseedsthey are the most affected; although livestock production is also affected and is reflected in the market with future prices that are being validated from wintering reindeer for values higher than those currently available for sale.
Drought effect: they will warn that soybean yields will fall by up to 50%
While breeders search the way to make room in the fields so that the cows have the scarce forage available and have more chances of getting pregnant due to lack of rain, in the agricultural sector, the situation is desperate.
In some areas of southern Buenos Aires and the Pampas region, producers pray not only for some rain but also for it not to be generated. an extreme heat wave that could aggravate the already dark panorama.
According to N/Atechnicians from the National Meteorological Service maintain in a low voice You have to spend the summer”, since for the first three months of the year it is expected that “the probability of occurrences of rainfall below normal in the Coast, north of the Pampas and NEA region will continue”.
Meanwhile, “on the south of the pampean area, Cuyo and eastern Patagonia are projected normal conditionswhile in the NOA rains above normal are expected according to the historical average ”.
Regarding the temperatures, for “the first three months of 2023 higher than normal values will be recorded for the province of Buenos Aires, La Pampa, Córdoba, east of San Luis and west of Santa Fe”.
A report from the Rosario Stock Exchange indicates that the production horizon drawn by the region’s producer for premium soybeans, It is usually located between 40 to 50 qq/ha.
Advisors and producers report yield drops froml 20% to 50% and warn that they can fall more depending on how the rains occur. In addition, the drought stops the crops, but not the pests that usually adapt to any environment.
According to report number 34 of the Agricultural Pest Alarm System of the INTA office, National Institute of Agricultural Technology, of the Marcos Juárez locality, “Insect record in the field reveals low levels of current infestation in most of the plots, but with predisposing conditions to certain groups of pests such as thrips and spider mites”, quotes NA.
Strong impact of the drought for the economy in 2023
Corn is already one of the most compromised cereals and there is already talk of corn dramadue to the effect of weather conditions.
The Simulated Yield Forecast, ProRindes, revealed that, of all the planted regions, only one expects higher early maize yields than other years. It is the town of Tandil. But in areas like Junín, Tres Arroyos or Río Cuarto in Córdoba or Gualeguaychú in Entre Ríos, lower performances than the historical average are expected.
For the majority of agricultural producers in the so-called core zone, the campaign is at stake because there is no water in the soil profile and rainfall they do not arrive with the abundance that is needed to have a good harvest.
Climate experts expect abundant precipitation for late summer and early fall. The drought impacted very strong in the north and northeast of buenos aires and south of Santa Fe and part of Córdoba and Santiago del Estero.
SE/MCP
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